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Compared to the previous study in 2004, the current "World Energy
Report 2006", which has now been presented by the International
Energy Agency (IEA) no reveals a highly different picture of global
energy demand and consumption.
In the estimation of the IEA the influence of the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia on the international
oil markets is going to increase until 2030, provided the present trends
will continue. Should no countermeasures be taken the demand would
increase by 50 percent until 2030. It is, however, a fact that oil
is not available forever. The dependency on fossil raw materials is
"highly alarming", said the IEA boss Claude Mandil, because
"more and more oil will come from fewer and fewer countries",
according to Mandil.
Based on an unchanged energy policy, the "World Energy Outlook
2006" forecasts an increasing dependency on crude oil imports:
Their share could rise up to two thirds as forecasted by the experts
in one of their scenarios for the year 2030. At the same time, coal
as energy supplier has become cheaper compared to oil and gas so that
the demand for this raw material is rising more rapidly than assumed
in the report from 2004. In this case, China and India are again the
nations with the highest sales growth. Due to lacking investments,
the IEA is concerned about the energy supply. But only in this way
the nations could take countermeasures. The Agency has required from
all nations to work more energy efficient including investments in
the preparation to produce clean raw materials as well as investments
in efficient facilities for the conversion of coal into electricity.
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